Dialogue with the Director

July 11, 2012

Center to Re-Examine World3 Model

We are quickly approaching the 40th anniversary of one of the most transcendent and influential books in the domain of sustainability, Limits to GrowthIn their report to the Club of Rome, authors Donnella Meadows, Dennis Meadows, Jorgen Randers and William Behrens III provided insights into how population growth and industrialization would impact the availability of finite resources and the environmental conditions of our planet. For many scientists and practionners in the realm of sustainability, these authors work and follow-up publications serve as a platform on which we examine complex interactions of people, nature, economics and technology, known as socio-technological regimes.  

I am pleased to announce the Duke Center for Sustainability & Commerce is undertaking a project to re-examine the data and assumptions behind the World3 Model developed by the authors in the 1970s and to reconstruct a revised systems dynamics model, which we're calling "World3+40." Our goal is to eventually put the new model online for use by the community of sustainability scientists to explore alternative scenarios. 

In the next few weeks I will be continuing to provide you with updates on our progress and insights into many of the emerging technologies that can radically alter our sustainability trajectory, such as deep-sea mining and even extra-terrestrial mining. Stay tuned! 

All my best,
Dr. Jay

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